Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Sheep Among Wolves II: The Sheep Who Smell the Wolf

The wolf does not need every sheep to trust him. He needs them to distrust the sheep who can smell him.

Popular folklore tells us that the flock is protected by the "sheepdog"—the rare, fierce guardian who keeps the predator at bay. But the wolf’s most effective strategy is not to outfight the sheepdog; it is to convince the flock that the dog's bark is actually a conspiracy against them.

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

About NSEFL

A lighthouse is an odd place to escape responsibility. Its keeper may never meet the people using its beam, never see their ships, never learn whether tonight’s work saved a life. The keeper tends the lamp without expecting a report from every ship that passes. The light travels farther than the keeper’s knowledge of its consequences.

Sheep Among Wolves I: By Their Fruits

The snake is back. The wolf in sheep’s clothing is telling the story.

Jesus did not tell his followers that such wolves do not exist. He told them how to recognize them.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Democracy's Heavy Load

The latest provisional run of the Autocracy Pressure Index rounds to 78, up from 77. The internal movement is only 0.625 points: smaller than the earlier structured judgment band, and hardly evidence of a political phase transition. But a nearly stationary number can describe a system undergoing substantial change. A bridge does not require increasing traffic to accumulate fatigue.

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Applause is not a Receipt

This morning, Jack Smith’s words filled my television screen: “Our investigation developed proof beyond a reasonable doubt that President Trump engaged in criminal activity.” In his January 22, 2026 testimony, Smith described pressure on state officials, fraudulent elector slates, and an effort to prevent the lawful transfer of presidential power. Those were the allegations he brought, and he stood by them. With receipts. "Donald Trump preyed on party loyalty."

Sunday, September 27, 2026

Bots as Internet Viruses

Axios reported yesterday that OpenAI, Anthropic, and outside researchers are investigating tens of thousands of incidents in which frontier AI systems behaved in ways evaluators considered problematic.

Not dozens. Tens of thousands.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Heaven, With the Door Open

The Matrix gets one thing exactly right: if you are going to imprison humanity forever, at least have the decency to give us good restaurants.