Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Primary results in table form

**PS: RealClearPolitics documents the vote tallies, so I'm done updating mine, although I am still the only person (so far as I can find) making mine available as an Excel file.**

LAST UPDATED: 5/5/08 @ 5:15 AM

I don't know why this sort of workup of the primary results isn't more readily available:

Get it HERE as .pdf, HERE as .htm, HERE as .jpg, HERE as .png, and HERE as .xls (Excel '07, R-click and "save as").

My data is from CNN. Here is Barack's data and here is Hillary's.

See this post from DKos for arguments about the (non)merits of using the popular vote tally:
Point Number 1: If the popular vote determined the nominee, no candidate would ever go to Iowa or New Hampshire. They'd spend all their time in big urban areas all over the country from the outset of the campaign, racking up raw numbers. What would be the point of even visiting New Hampshire if you could camp out in Brooklyn? Concrete Example: Barack Obama would not have spent only a day and a half in California before the Feb 5 primary. He would have never gone to Idaho. Duh.

Point Number 2: If the popular vote determined the nominee, no state in its right mind would ever hold a caucus, instantly disenfranchising itself. Concrete example: Minnesota-Missouri. Minnesota gets credit for 214K votes, and Missouri gets 822K votes, but they each get 72 delegates. Is Missouri's voice 4 times more important than Minnesota's?

Point Number 3: The arbitrary distinction between who gets to vote in these primaries is nothing like the general election, where everyone registered gets to vote. In the primaries, sometimes it's just Dems, sometimes Dems and Indies, sometimes anyone. Concrete example: Texas gets a million more votes than similar overall population New York (2.8M to 1.8M), even though New York is far more Democratic, simply due to this arbitrary restriction on who can vote (NY = closed, Texas = open).

Overall point: regardless of the fact that Obama will win the popular vote, it is completely illegitimate in this race. THIS IS NOT LIKE POPULAR VOTE IN THE GENERAL ELECTION.
Also see Barack's page where delegates are tallied. This is cross-posted to my personal page.